The Great Divide
How VC Concentration is Creating New Opportunities for $100M Seed Funds
By Vartan Indjeian
October 2025
Venture capital, though its roots go back earlier, came into its own in the 1970s and 80s with small, tightly focused partnerships like Kleiner Perkins and Sequoia Capital, backing early icons such as Apple and Genentech. The 1990s and early 2000s brought a shift: as computing and storage costs plummeted, it became easier than ever to launch a company, and seed-stage funds flourished. But as companies stayed private longer, the scale of venture capital expanded dramatically. By the mid-2010s, firms like Sequoia and Andreessen Horowitz were raising multi-billion-dollar vehicles, while late-stage companies like Uber, WeWork, and Airbnb absorbed unprecedented rounds of private capital. This dynamic was supercharged during the zero-interest-rate era (2009–2021), when abundant liquidity encouraged mega-funds to deploy vast sums into unproven business models. Even as interest rates rose in 2022, the incentive structure for these funds remained unchanged: fund size compels deployment. The AI boom—epitomized by OpenAI’s multibillion-dollar raises beginning in 2023—picked up exactly where the last era left off, with capital concentration defining the landscape and setting the stage for today’s “great divide.”
“Fund size dictates behavior—and mega-funds are structurally compelled to chase massive rounds and massive exits.”
The capital landscape today is starkly polarized: a shrinking pool of firms is capturing the lion’s share of venture dollars, tilting the ecosystem’s incentives toward scale and away from early-stage discipline. By the end of 2024, just 30 firms accounted for 75% of all VC capital raised in the U.S.—a powerful indication that influence and resources are increasingly concentrated at the top. Similarly, nine marquee firms accounted for over half of the $76.1 billion raised in 2024 alone. Meanwhile, investors are drawn to megadeals: in early 2025, 70% of funding was going into mega-rounds of $100 million or more, reaching the highest levels since 2022. This dynamic forces large funds either to chase late-stage growth or write prohibitively large early checks—both of which can stifle true early-stage upside. In stark contrast, $75–100 million funds—with leaner deployment targets—can build portfolios where high-value exits such as strategic acquisitions or targeted IPOs deliver strong returns, align GP-LP incentives, and preserve focus on foundational company-building.
“$75–100 million funds can generate outstanding returns from high-value outcomes—strategic acquisitions or targeted IPOs that don’t require unicorn valuations.”
At Endurance28, we believe the best opportunities lie not in chasing headlines, but in backing the ambitious rebels—founders driven to build transformational businesses without measuring success by capital raised or valuation hype. Our portfolio construction is intentionally designed to give us meaningful ownership while keeping our fund size disciplined, allowing us to stay fully aligned with our LPs. This structure gives us the flexibility to serve as active partners on boards, rolling up our sleeves alongside founders even as their companies take on challenges typically associated with later stages of growth. In this way, we remain on the founder’s team for the long haul, providing operational support and strategic guidance without the pressure to overcapitalize. By resisting the temptation to scale into a multi-stage fund, we preserve the clarity of our early-stage mission: to generate strong financial returns through disruptive innovation while building enduring companies of great value—without relying on the few mega-valuations that dominate headlines.
“We see strength in focus—delivering returns for LPs and founders while building enduring companies of real value.”
In a world where venture capital is increasingly defined by scale, we see strength in focus—standing firmly with founders and LPs alike on lasting the side of the great divide.
